Niall McCrae
Are we heading for freefall? You may have seen the notorious Deagel prediction, from eleven years ago, of a plummeting population by the current year of 2025. According to the strategic forecaster, the West will be hardest hit. Our crowded island of Great Britain will lose over three quarters of its people, merely 14 million surviving: while the USA will fall below 100 million. The estimated decreases are incredible, particularly in the West: the UK down 77% by 2025, Ireland 72%, USA 69%, Germany 65%, Spain 44%. Meanwhile the population of African nations will be nearing a peak. China will fall by merely 1.6%, while India, Bangladesh, Indonesia and Brazil will continue to grow.
After the statistical modelling of Neil Ferguson at Imperial College London was used by governments to impose lockdown in the pseudopandemic, and relentless climate change warnings with spuriously precise numerical data that fail the test of time, perhaps we should be cautious of such dubious techniques. Models are at best a shot in the dark, at worst propaganda to induce confusion, fear and compliance.
Founded by Edwin and Judy Deagle in 1997, Deagel (I don’t know why they changed the spelling), is closely linked to the US armed services, collating and analysing data on military expenditure, industrial output and population patterns. Its strategic reports have been commissioned by the United Nations and World Bank. The anonymous author is believed to be Edwin Deagal himself, who died on 16th February 2021. This man was immersed in the Washington ‘deep state’. He was appointed by Bill Clinton’s administration to a senior role in the Department of Defense. A leading member of the globalist Council on Foreign Relations, he was also the director of international relations for the eugenicist Rockefeller Foundation.
On the face of it, 2025 is more of the same, so far. In fact the population of most Western countries continues to rise steadily, although Germany lost half a million last year, and Portugal, Spain and Italy are now in decline. The UK, Ireland, France and Belgium are growing due to mass immigration and high fertility in Muslim communities.
However, there are two regions where population has gone into reverse. Almost every nation in eastern Europe, including Russia and Belarus, procreation has passed the summit and is now on a long descent. Greece is now back under ten million, and the Baltic states are depopulating so much that the Russians could (if Vladimir Putin wished) march in with little opposition.
The other region, with much higher reductions in headcount, is the Far East. Unlike the Deagel forecast, the most dramatic fall is not in the West but in China. Also going down are Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, Thailand and Nepal, while the Philippines, Vietnam and Laos are still rising. The sheer size of China, officially (though dubiously) numbered at over 1.4 billion, means that a tiny percentage change amounts to thousands of missing human beings.
See for yourself, on the United Nations Worldometer website, the population reversal in real time. I recorded the live numbers at 2pm on 10th May, and again at 2pm a week later. The proportions are obviously small for such a time period, but the loss of people is significant. I have added an annual estimate, simply by multiplying the seven-day figures by 52.
| Country | Population (2pm on 10th May) | Population (2pm on 17th May) | Difference(one week) | Difference (annual estimate) |
| Japan | 123,195,120 | 123,182,756 | -12,364 | -642,928 |
| China | 1,416,552,176 | 1,416,490,217 | -61959 | -3,221,868 |
| South Korea | 51,674,184 | 51,673,212 | -972 | 50,544 |
| Taiwan | 23,127,084 | 23,125,145 | -1,939 | -100,828 |
| Philippines | 116,649,309 | 116,671,151 | +21,842 | +1,135,784 |
| Vietnam | 101,509,330 | 101,523,602 | +14,273 | +742,196 |
| Thailand | 71,626,709 | 71,625,749 | -960 | -49,920 |
Japan, at the current rate of decrease, will lose the equivalent of a large city over the period of one year. It has lost six million since 2010. China, with over three million fewer people, will see a surfeit vacant high-rise developments and malls with shoppers. These estimates, however, are not modelled for the trend of escalating negative change, as depopulation gains momentum.
An intriguing question is whether the Chinese state wants depopulation. Officially, policies have emerged to encourage motherhood, but arguably the structure (one-bed flats) and culture (encroachment of Western materialism) of Chinese society is not amenable to reversing the trend. Viktor Orban in Hungary know that once women stop having babies, it’s difficult to get natural breeding back into gear.
The global population is not falling off a precipice, but we are staring at a sinking horizon.
