UK NEWS

UK is expected hit its peak of the coronavirus in the next week to 10 days

5 April, 2020
Oliver Down

Professor Neil Ferguson of Imperial College London, which is guiding the government on its coronavirus response has said the UK’s is expected to hit its peak of the coronavirus epidemic in the next week to 10 days. Professor Ferguson did place a caveat on his statement when he said that people’s behaviour was critical to this prediction.

Professor Ferguson stated on BBC Radio 4: “The critical thing first is to get case numbers down, and then I’m hopeful… in a few weeks’ time we will be able to move to a regime which will not be normal life, let me emphasise that, but will be somewhat more relaxed in terms of social distancing and the economy, but relying more on testing”. The Health Secretary Matt Hancock yesterday used his daily briefing to urge people to “stick with the guidance” which is to stay at home and resist the temptation to break the COVID-19 outbreak social distancing rules this sunny weekend.

Professor Ferguson corroborated these remarks and said if people do ignore government advice: “that moves us to a slightly more pessimistic scenario. We still think things will plateau, but we’ll be at quite high levels of infection for weeks and weeks rather than seeing quite a rapid decline as the type seen in China.” Prof Ferguson also said he was also confident that successful antibody tests could be ready in days. 

Prof Ferguson also added a semi-permeable timescale when he said : “We want to move to a situation where at least by the end of May that we’re able to substitute some less intensive measures, more based on technology and testing, for the complete lockdown we have now.”

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